Saturday, April 27, 2013

On stock buybacks by IBM in 2009.


Earnings manipulation may not be at the top of the list of reasons for  IBM's stock  buy-back. Lack of investment  opportunities in the current market may be a good reason. 

Ever since IBM transformed itself from a manufacturing giant to a global "services"  company it has found itself flush with cash it did not know what to do with.

Thanks to the chinese, the returns on manufacturing have plummeted in the  US while relatively muted competition in the global services markets  (after all our competitive advantage is in human capital) has kept  the returns high.

The company alludes to this saying that  spending on technology is "stabilising".

As far as I know, trading in equity is a relatively recent phenomena in history and reflects the sophistication of markets. If the markets are dumb enough not to recognise the games that the companies play, we have no right to look for an earnings-terrorist behind every corporate move.

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